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Religious Dogma
What makes your brain tick?
According to researchers, the parts of your body, if you don't use it you lose
it, particularly your brain. The more you use it, the more logical and brainier you
are, could that be true?
Would global warming annihilate mankind?
Global warming - what can we do about it? Nothing really... politicians can and preach global warming like a religious dogma. The sad fact is no God in Internet era, you are
too educated. You dug up research papers - they say it's not proven or political.
For example:
The Earth axial tilt (pole shift) from time to time. In 1984 the earth axial was off centred by 11 degree (77 degree
North and 102 degree West)
and changing.
And in 2006 the Earth axial tilted to 23.439 degree off-centre, and worse, the
Earth was about 7.25 degree to the Sun's equator.
Remember the Earth
rotate in elliptical form round the Sun, or rotate to the foci along the
barycentre of the Sun, some years a bit closer or further
away, and our weather changes with it.
A combination of the Earth axial tilt and sunspot cycle as well as solar
flares has been the interval of climate change during the Holocene periods, next
major solar flare likely by 2012. Tree-ring evidences indicated drought period
on Earth within the cycles.
And if by selling more carbon emissions could mitigate climate change,
than selling hunger would benefit the poor. What a tautology. In a solar
system being tugged and pulled by the gravities of nine planets, scores of
moons, and millions of asteroids, that ancient calculation of planetary
movements were so accurate, and politicians forgot they were historical
forecasts only.
As a matter of fact, the oceanic crust is continuously being built (created)
at mid-ocean ridges, which is known for sea levels to rise or fall over the
centuries due to plate tectonics crumpled or buckled up, into mountain ranges as
witnessed by coastal geological evidences, a mere 14,000 years ago in geologic
time scale.
It is holy untrue that the only reason for sea level rises due to ice on
land melted or ocean water expanded due to global warming; ice is far bulkier
than liquid water else water displacement by ships could raise sea levels,
human activities do play a part inducing climate change.
According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), global
warming will hit the poorest and most vulnerable the hardest in their December
2007 Bali conference where 187 countries attended, political leaders then agreed
to cut all carbon emissions by 60% in 43 years time or by 2050, whilst avoiding
the political sensitive issue of population induced climate change.
America and Australia emits more CO2 per capita than any
nations on Earth strongly opposed such protocol (Kyoto Protocol) that climate
pollutants could be human induces. In climate change term, it is difficult to
find other nations that have been more severely disadvantaged than the US and
Australia, both were settlers evading Industrial Revolution pollutants from
Europe.
As a matter of fact, any organic body when
decomposed will produce carbon dioxide or methane if devoid of oxygen; both
are potent greenhouse warming gases, our Planet Earth system of which the
biosphere is a part, the janitor has always been the Earth herself, and we
are merely one of the transient species.
Recall the 100,000 year cycles of Ice Age and interglacial, which
persisted for around a million year each, and coincided with minor wobbles of
the Earth’s orbital, amplified by carbon dioxide emissions?
And in March 2010, there was a minor wobble of the Earth’s orbital as
amplified by carbon dioxide emissions, the concentration levels of CO2
(carbon dioxide)
had gone up by 19ppm (part per million) to a world record high of 398ppm as of
March 2009, compared with the 2005 levels of 379ppm. CO2
concentration levels by 400ppm could amplify itself either way by small changes in
temperature.
In December 2007, scientists using the latest datasets model from 1979-2004,
claimed that ice will be a thing of the past in the North Poles by 2013. The
than
scientists argued that the datasets was already too conservative and did not
even include the
minima of 2005 and 2007.
By April 2010, media reported that the Polar ice caps had recovered most
parts of the Bering Sea last March, a phenomenon not seen in decades, since
making that scientific tale a puzzle.
Pseudo science tale or climate change policy? The oceans circulation switches
system for example, where colder water dissolves carbon dioxide faster than warmer water,
and in order to control the oceans conveyer belt on/off switch systems!
Suggested the building of a city in Greenland, where human activities will force
the ancient glacial ice mountains down to sea, which is enough to lower sea
temperature worldwide, to restore climate equilibrium.
And in 2009, Greenland
was declared an independent nation state, for possible migration as a result of
human induced climate change.
 Earth axial tilt
What about anthropogenic effects?
Remember the problem with CFCs? You know the stuff scientists called
'chlorofluorocarbons' - chlorine and fluorine bonded to carbon, used in most
household goods.
We use this stuff before and after the war up to the 1990s. Scientists
later found that this stuff thin our ozone layer, usually the
earth's good at breaking down chemical bonds, but
research indicated that this stuff
(CFCs) regenerate itself (a chain reaction happen) in the upper atmosphere, a
global ban was enforced.
But too late, a large-hole (a large decrease of ozone) was found in 1989 over
Antarctica, and by the 1990s a second hole had appeared over the Arctic too, ice started to melt. Research indicated that it will take nature
50-100 years to repair itself.
And nature works in mysteries way, in the Montreal protocol, 180 countries ratified the agreement, CFCs emission
trading was not on the agenda.
Luck has it that industry chose the easy options of CFCs and dichlorodifluoromethane
instead of Bromine for spray cans or refrigerators, and then nature cannot
break down the bromine bonds. Bromine (Br35) is 100 times more
effective at destroying ozone layer.
Pure luck also determined that mechanical engineer turned chemist Thomas Midgley
chose the easy option of CFCs than the less known bromine compounds to develop
his mechanical cooling system.
And since the 1970s, research indicated that ozone level had dropped, by
October 1984, the loss was about 30%; but by 1989 the loss was 70%. Ozone
hole in Dobson units for October 1992 was 105 where normally for that time of
the year is 225 Dobson units.
Thus, for the next 50-100 years of our life, triggered by spring low
sunlight and temperature, a thin ozone layer will appear over Antarctica, and
potentially in the Arctic too. Pure luck rather than by wisdom commented
eco-science, a catastrophic situation did not develop, then Earth cannot break
down the chemical bonds.
UV (ultraviolet) radiation wavelengths below 242nm can break down as well as
form molecule bonds such as CFCs (chemical bonds) over time.
Could nature had broken down the chemical bonds faster than we understood
nature, and had repaired parts of the Ozone hole in the upper atmosphere,
because in April
2010, media reported that the Polar ice caps had recovered most parts of
the Bering Sea last March, a phenomenon not seen in decades, but then there was
a minor wobble of the Earth’s orbital that happened in March 2010.
You might
recall that the 100,000 years cycles of Ice Age and interglacial which persisted
for about a million year each, also coincided with a minor wobble of the Earth's
orbital, as amplified by carbon dioxide emissions; though we are also in the midst of
four 'Moon Wobble' during the year from December 28th of 2009 through to January
18th of 2010.
And recent reports on the concentration levels of CO2 (carbon
dioxide) had gone up by 19ppm (part per million) to a world record high of
398ppm as of March 2009, compared with the 2005 levels of 379ppm, in addition to
CFCs, methane, and nitrous oxide which could cause global warming.
What about CH4 ?
You know, the stuff all life forms produce in one way or the other, with the
molecular formula CH4, a potent greenhouse gas with a 7-year half-life
global warming potential or 50-100 years of our life.
The global warming potential caused by the molecules of methane is 20 times
greater than the molecules of carbon dioxide; and methane does most of its
warming in her first half-life.
By the law of nature, any decomposing body ultimately produce carbon dioxide
or methane if devoid of oxygen; both are potent greenhouse warming gas, then the
world will have to eliminate landfill sites or cemeteries.
The exhalations from our breath alone attribute one-fifth of all potent
greenhouse warming gas emissions if plants cannot regulate that oxygen to carbon
dioxide close-loop cycle in the atmosphere by photosynthesis. Scientific
simulation on average 1.7 metre height adults produce almost one kilogram of
carbon dioxide through natural breathing each day, and about half of a kilogram
by smaller stature.
Scientists also found that our livestock alone produce a third of the world's (about 37%)
human induced methane, the potent greenhouse warming gas, primarily from our meat producing cattle, chicken or pig.
Methane is a significant contributor to global warming and the Kyoto protocol
seeks to regulate its emissions. By selling more thin air to put food on the
table? That selling is analogous to rubbing the poor off their meals. What a
fine theoretical frameworks of paradigm shift in that colonial
logic which I cannot contemplate.
Interestingly, methane is also dubbed the mega-fart of mother Earth, and is
in prodigious quantities in many part of the world, from permafrost to frozen
bogs and underneath sea bed or by-products of oil fields, exported as liquefied
natural gas. By the state of human nature, the half-life of methane ultimately decomposed
to form carbon dioxide.
Global warming, greenhouse gases emission and population growth are
intertwined, CO2 alone in the atmosphere has increased from
pre-industrial concentration levels of 280ppm (parts per million) to the
current levels of 398ppm as of March 2009, as a result of housing needs and
the burning of fossil fuel, plus the reduction of carbon-sinks, notably from
woodlands and forests for cattle and population growth, since the 19th
century great European migratory movements. World population has since increased by
seven folds.
The pre-industrial Ice Age era is primarily a European and North Atlantic
phenomenon in climate change terms, due to coal-fired machinery bellow
pollutants into the atmosphere during the Industrial Revolution, and European
population had doubled again to 300 million by the 1800s. To cut a ‘wedge’
out of the graph of rising emissions will have to halve world populations.
Human beings are at best selfish and at worst shedding crocodile tears.
Earth system science believes that human interference to planet Earth carbon
cycle on land and at sea affects the ocean circulation, the stratosphere and its
ozone layer, and the ice of the cryosphere. The Earth’s functioning system is
now close to breakdown.
What about Laughing Gas ?
You know, the stuff you called the 'laughing gas', with the molecular formula N2O
(nitrous oxide), an excellent heat trapping gas in the troposphere, but it's no laughing matter when one burn fossil fuel in
combustion engine, the nitrous oxide inactivates vitamin B12 deficiency in us by
oxidation - that the experts called 'cobalamin'.
Vitamin B12 is synthesized by bacteria and plays a key role in the normal
functioning of our brain and
nervous system, and vitamin B12 deficiency causes sensory neuropathy, myelopathy
and encephalopathy - the inflammation in our brain, or the 'big-headedness'
literally, not a sign of intelligence else dolphins would be farming human
species.
The human activities alone now account for 30% of this green house warming gas;
industrial data attribute 20% of the source in addition to agricultural
nitrate fertilizers sources.
Am I the only lone voice on this human induced climate change issue, I do not
think so. Before the advancement of nitrate fertilizers for food yield, there
was a gold award in Europe, to anyone who could ease that recurring famine. A
monk (Thomas Malthus 1766-1834) had than fired the first shot, warning that
famine will be back to haunt, if population issue cannot be addressed; the than
population in Europe had doubled again during the Industrial Revolution periods.
Little did that monk could understood, that was the first human induced
global dimming due to particles spewed out into the atmosphere by coal-fired
power plant and machinery, in addition to gaseous volcanic diffusion by the
1815 Icelandic eruptions. A phenomenon known as the ‘Year without a summer’
famine in Europe and North Atlantic in climate change terms, the industrial
pollutants and particles cut down the amount of sunlight reaching the
northern hemisphere, known as the albedo effect; famine is unavoidable.
But by than the politicians had a flag-planting ideas,
shipping home every scarp of food they could found, and trophy hunters sealed
the faith of the Tasmanian tigers, as the ‘dead of a Dodo’ was firmly
in their head. By the mid 19th century, that great migratory scale movement
was unprecedented as a result of massive famine throughout Europe.
Migration has always been Homo sapiens’ survival strategy, but by wrecking the
natural fecundity of new found Continents, you have nowhere to go. Mars is not
Homo sapiens' new frontier.
What about PAH ?
You know, Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs), known as Polynuclear
Aromatic Hydrocarbons or Polyaromatic Hydrocarbons, the incomplete burning of
fuels by vehicle and aircraft or factory waste incineration.
The aromatic parts of the chemical bonding PAHs pollutants are known carcinogenic or
mutagenic to human and animal lungs, liver, skin, and kidney damages or known as
cancer.
The human activities alone now account for about half of the cancerous PAHs
(just below a million metric tons), in addition to volcanic activity.
All our creature comfort stuff from styrene to polymers and plastics, phenol to
resins and adhesives or the manufacture of Nylon, supports the penalty
clause - 'buy now, pay with your life later' at incineration plants.
To cut a ‘wedge’ out of the graph of rising emissions will have to halve
world population, else the world will have to eliminate waste incineration and factories or
vehicles and aircrafts.
According to recent research data from Beijing, China alone responsible for
about 133,000 metric tons, mainly from eastern China industrial towns, or 22% of
human induced gross PAHs emissions.
Though the world accepts the CO2 human activities could induce, but can’t agree
on the amount of PAHs, the cancerous part of the aromatic chemical bonds, as a
result of incomplete fossil fuel burning in combustion engine and aircraft, or
waste incineration in factory.
What about Bio-Capacity ?
Population and waste is mathematically linked to sources and the climate, to cut a
‘wedge’ out of the graph on rising emissions will have to halve
population. Take the biosphere and the climate for example.
You know, our mother Earth has a bio-capacity - the natural absorption rate
of organic carbon in the soil mantle, but the human animals have already
discharged double that figure, with the developed nations being the biggest
contributor and preacher of recycling, whilst shipping millions of tons of solid
waste to another geological cleft.
In a vicious dose-dependent cycle, such amount of toxic waste affects global geochemical
cycle; further contribute to the shifting in climate and trophic levels (food
chains) in the ecosystem, known as the bio-magnification. What a wise eclecticism.
The volume of solid waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has reached a
geological figure (landfill site figure) of 400 million tons per annum and
rising, in a generation's time, mankind will suffocated in its own garbage.
A third of the world's natural resources were consumed in the last three
decades, most were consumed by the developed nations.
During the same decades, developed nations contributed almost two-third of
the world's solid waste tonnage discharge, in addition to a third attributed by the poor
and developing nations.
What is a toxic waste to humans is a food source for insects and micro
organisms, and the chemicals that concentrated in the droppings of the birds are
food for vegetations; ultimately find their way in our food source, that the
experts called ‘bio-magnification’ or health hazard.
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in the soil mantle is estimated 42
million tons annually. Human discharge of organic carbon had reached 85 million
tons per annum – doubled the Earth's natural absorption ability.
Zero population grow in which a population remain stable, occurs only when the
birth and death rates are equal.
By the law of nature, any organic body when decomposed will produce carbon
dioxide or methane if devoid of oxygen; both are potent greenhouse warming gas,
then the world will have to eliminate landfill site practice or cemeteries.
What about pH level ?
You know acidic chemical can play havoc with our pH level in water when
fossil fuels are burn, CO2 may be friendly to plants but colourless toxic SO2
(sulphur dioxide) and poisonous NO2 (nitrogen dioxide) shouldn't be in the air.
When water vapour in air mixed with these two oxides - sulphur dioxide became
sulphuric acid (H2SO4), and nitrogen dioxide became nitric acid (HNO3). Acid rain find their
way in soil and organic habitat, few life forms survive in low pH level acidic
water conditions, including humans.
The world consumes 30 billion barrels (4.8 km³) of oil per year, with
developed nations being the largest consumer and preacher of global warming,
while organic life forms being annihilate, it's a religious dogma.
Petroleum is vital to many industries and is a critical concern for developed
nations to maintain a political grip for an industrialized civilization, thus
petroleum diplomacy plays the vital role in energy security and military
supremacy.
If some organisms are being killed by these acidic conditions, other
organic life forms that consume these missing links are left without food and
energy. It's a vicious
cycle.
When the death of some organisms happen slowly it's an ecological success so
that population growth rates remain in balance, eutrophication by humans is
tragic by our dispersion rate.
Despite global crude oil prices rising in recent history, and amidst global
economic woes, oil demand for energy security and road vehicle passenger figures
or air traveller numbers had all gone up again. OPEC (Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries) will need to pump 28.7
million barrels a day to balance oil demand and supply by 2010. Transports alone
accounts for a third of world CO2 emissions. It is a vicious
demand propelled cycle.
In the developed world energy need is in line with population growth at
about 2% per annum with a 2.5% economic growth rate or less, doubling the
need every 35 years. And in the developing world energy need is above base
population growth rate and doubling the energy need every 18 years or less.
With a fuel burning rate now the largest annual amount in six years, plus
the largest carbon-sink reductions for housing needs due to population growth
in the past ten years are all credible indicators signalling the end of cheap
oil.
Experts warned that a 1970s-style oil shock will be back to haunt within
the next decade, and oil price spikes will trigger global economic
volatility, as well as nasty energy and environmental surprises; and by the
year 2050, we could have use up the oxygen in the atmosphere before we use up
fossil fuel, at our present rate of carbon-sink reduction level.
According to the ancient agrarian wisdom, the Stone Age did not end
for lack of stone, but our Oil Age will end long before oil runs
out, the greatest error is the sheer number of us taking more than the Earth
can produce. A prophet diagnosis recorded the 'death of the Earth' in
the year 2050 was not the cause of our carbon footprint; our sheer number was
the deadly cause.
Biotic Potential
The biotic potential on humans has been tilted as a result of advances in
medical science. The dispersion rates per square mile on many part of the world
have reached critical points.
This tilting in the biotic potential on humans as a result of nutritional
intakes and improvements of healthcare, and the reductions in infant
mortality meant changes for the first time in the human history. The era of
world population growing by one billion people every ten years has started,
and a count down to one billion people per year is now possible in a
few generations time.
Our life expectancy has increased from the average 70 years to the now
expected 80s in most part of the world. Thus since we celebrated on the eve
of the new millennia with 6 billion people on Earth, another billion people
has since joined in the cerebration by 2010.
Advances in medical science through the understanding of radioactive
material does not senesce (age) - though it decays and the half-life of decay
remains the same. Research has since found that ageing is actually a disease
which can be cure, has lead to the development of an immortal mouse - the
'Methuselah' mouse out lived contemporary by three folds.
For the first time in human history, ageing is not (dying) inevitable,
though progressive loss of physical robustness that happens with
wear-and-tear. In other words, as one grows older, the probability of dying in
the next year would stay almost the same with improved healthcare if mentally or physically active.
And with the advancements of stem cell research, the capability in
restoring worn out or damaged body parts with stem cells soon a reality, and
with the potential to further develop into 100s of
different mature cell types in the human body from skin cells to muscles,
heart, liver, arteries, corneas, and so on.
Further, researchers have found multiple indicators to stop people going
‘downslide’, research indicate that most long health-span people are mentally
exceptionally active, either involve in research and studies or with a
passion for art, music or intricate hobbies, as oppose to inactive illiterate
without restoring body parts.
This tilting on human biotic potential has since shifted our trophic levels
(food chains) in the ecosystem, the energy food chain from our primary producers
- plants and photosynthetic bacteria which harness carbon and sun light into
chemical energy for our needs has been interrupted.
Livestock farming now produce a third of the world's (about 37%) human induced CH4 (methane), the potent
greenhouse warming gas, primarily from our meat producing cattle, chicken or pig.
Scientists found that human activities alone now responsible for over half of
the world's methane emission. CH4 is a significant contributor to
climate change, and the Kyoto protocol seeks to regulate its emission.
The theoretical framework of paradigm shift by carbon trading to mitigate
global warming is effectively selling thin air to put food on the table for
the rich, that selling is analogous to rubbing the poor off their meals, which
eco-scientists cannot contemplated.
By the law of nature, if we reduce world population by
half, human induced emissions will reduce by a quarter. Zero
population grow in which a population remain stable, occurs only when the birth
and death rates are equal. As any population which sustains a negative rate of
growth will halve or any population which sustains a positive rate of growth
will double.
But between now and 2050, the world’s population will increase by a third,
and the demand for food will increase by two-third, whilst the demand for
meat will double. Despite the largest grain harvest in history (in 2007, 2008,
and 2009), and
amidst global economic woes, food prices had gone up again.
Modern livestock farming further shifted our trophic levels (food chains)
in the ecosystem. Since 2006, the annual demand growth rate of about 2% for animal feed, a
generation from now or 35 year from now, our livestock will consume 1.3
billion tons of fodder (animal feed) alone, whilst trophic levels (food
chains) shifting with increases in human populations to 9 billion.
Recent world food crisis and food riots in 2008 shocked the rich nations
food immune logic when both India and China temperately suspend food exports
except those that they can't afford to eat (such as Basmati) due to droughts.
What is true for food will be true for water, energy, transport, homes and
wastes, and other increasingly scarce natural resources, in this increasing
food consumption scenario, that the scientists had to highlight the analogy
with bacteria growth.
Bacterium grow by division, not unlike human being - 1 and 1 makes 4, thus
2 more mouths to feed. Let's say each mouth takes a ton of food per annum for
example; major producers export all surplus food in exchange for other needs.
The world food crisis provides not only a warning but also an opportunity
to examine our sustainability in a rising population scenario, for a
sustainable growth and development in order to achieve true security. A
sustainable growth, in which a population remains stable, occurs only when
the birth and death rates are equal.
Of course, we can continue to increase the height of buildings, if
population doubled in the city, and doubled the number of bus on the road;
but we cannot double what nature can sustain, in shifting trophic levels
(food chains) and a tilting biotic potential of the human species.
At the height of the food crisis, questions being asked. Suppose all food producing nations export their
surplus without exponential gain in arable land worldwide, in this raising
population scenario, when would they stop exporting?
There are six wheat exporting nations supplying more than 100 countries
that number of exporting nations will dwindle down to three in a generation's
time.
Much of the third world produces most of the food they need but suffer
malnourishment, because much of what they produce was consumed by the rich
world. This 'free market famine' works up to a point, then tables will
be turnaround – the third world will want to consume their own produce
instead of 'Franken food' hand outs from the rich world.
Since the celebration of the new millennia, another billion people had
joined in the calls for own food security by 2010 (6 billion in 1999, today
6.8 and by next year today 7 billion), which the EU (European Union) had the
moratorium in place for the import of genetically modified crops.
But once the media unfolding orders on world food crisis (in 2008), and
its impacts on the poor and the riots, that EU moratorium was sidelined. GM
and factory growth hormone meat produce no longer a 'Frankenstein food' for the
poor.
China indeed has a secret formula for food yield and population growth
ratio that rich nations would sell their new born in exchange for a mouthful
of her surplus one day; whilst India secretly reforming its food yield, if
her mouths continue to ate a ton of food each per annum.
The true is there is no secret formula in China, such measures were
historical necessity - people who do not want to remember the past are condemned to
repeat that food, water, and population growth rate hidden crisis.
Trading emissions could not mitigate global warming, charity starts from home,
such as China's food and population growth rate formula, which by 2050 both human induced
emissions and population issue can be significantly rectified. Recent world food
and credit crisis had already pay dividend to an educated and prosper nation, a shock to
the critics.
Nomenclature:
Those who
live in glass houses throw stones
Mankind blindly believe in nomenclature, because historically economic success has a close correlation between
growth and the climate, the mechanism between the two may spur in early human activity that
economic, as well as cultural development always concentrated on warmer part of the
world, examples of such as China, India or Egypt.
The predicted rate of economic growth has important implications for climate
change policy, thus the trade-off between carbons based economic growth and the
expected adverse impact on climate, partially acceptable
consequences for this growth.
And if by trading carbon emissions could mitigate climate change, than we are indeed doing
Iraq a favour, whilst avoiding the political
sensitive issue of world over population. And perhaps the Iraqis did sacrifices themselves to mitigate
world population explosion.
I don't see the connotation, facts are facts, those who been telling us that 'people who
live in glass houses shouldn't throw stone' throws stones themselves, then
we will dig deeper for more bones and the facts will be back to haunt them.
The term Anthropocene was not without cause, and did not warrant a Nobel
laureate to explain the age of humanity. Human beings been brewing methane and
carbon dioxide into the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution, the use of
machines was blatantly obvious in influencing Earth climate, the ozone hole
merely a by-product of human meddling since world population within that century
had gone up six fold.
The much talked about 'Year without a summer' famine so squarely
pointed at the anomaly of weather condition destroy much crops, even that
monk (Thomas Malthus) than had to fired the first shot, warning that the
famines will be back to haunt, if population issue cannot be addressed, when
population in Europe as a whole had doubled again. Whilst the politicians were busy flag-planting the globe, shipping home every
scarp of food they could found, the ‘Dead of the Dodo’ was not their
concern, even Lonesome George at Galapagos Islands cannot escape his
faith, and the men got to eat said the than eco-scientists, food and
population is a magnet for controversy.
Today, the science of ecology is still divided along the line of political
personality, the opposing camps over the hard mathematics as messy biological
questions, argued that populations were bounced around by unpredictable
environmental factors, wiping out whatever deterministic signal might exist.
Then why not simple point the finger at the children of Gaia, namely El Niño
and La Niña for blowing up food prices and the volatility of population
growth trend from a mere billion people to the seven billion marks in the
past hundred years due to a quasi-periodic climate patterns.
What about Holocene?
You know, global warming actually improves global agriculture variability
towards the Holocene climates 11,500 year BP to the present, and had
sustained the growth and development of modern society.
Holocene climate optimum period roughly in the intervals of 9000 to 5000
years BP, or before the 1950-based radiocarbon dating reference time scale
and paleoecology digs, and DNA.
During Holocene climates, increased rainfalls facilitate the development
of agriculture, village communities, and eventually cities by human-kind in
all part of the world.
Holocene climates in south-western part of North America, the
Mediterranean, Middle East, Ukraine, India and China, as well as Northern
Africa all received more rainfalls than they do today.
Thus Sahara desert than was a lush Savannah punctuated with rivers and
lakes that supported life and human domesticated cattle, and later culture as
well as agriculture spread into Europe.
But dogma has it, that such planetary elliptical wobble is a spin, causing Holocene
climate change; and opt for a fossil fuel era of Anthropocene climate. Where
are they heading, Heaven knows, perhaps global warming will annihilate us,
Anthropoid after all.
Ecological Footprint
You know, the term ‘ecological footprint’ is to let people know how much they consume
of nature’s resources and their waste discharged back on Earth. On the eve of
the millennia, there was 5.3 acres of land on
average to support each person on Earth, now is down to 4.9 acres.
And with
developed nations consume on average per head, about 9 acres of the Earth’s
resources each, while the 3rd world and emerging nations consume
on average below 3.5 acres per head.
A nation is said to have an ecological deficit, if the number of acres
needed to support its lifestyle is greater than the number of acres that
existed in that nation, they are all developed nations.
The number of ‘ecological footprint’ surplus nations has
now dwindled down to three in our universe; even India and China consume on average
about 4 acres per head of the Earth's natural resources each.
In a generation’s time, the average number of acres available will drop
down to 3 for each person on Earth, whilst consumption of the nature’s
resources is rapidly increasing, an ecological imbalance already happened.
An American study titled 'land, food and population growth' suggested that
our ‘One World’ will have to reduce her population by two-third to be
ecologically sustainable.
That number, coincide with the ancient Chinese agrarian wisdom, the term
'mere subsistence' meant 2-3 acres of arable land per head was need, in order
to avoid the most gruesome famine during draughts, for a given population in
that nation.
This ancient Chinese agrarian philosophy of sustainable land, gave a whole new
dimension to the science of ecological footprint, which was based on global
hectares per capita.
The postulated sustainable world populations figure by eco-scientists, meant if
the than maximised world populations all stand still, can be ecologically
sustainable. What a load of pseudoscience.
Despite global crude oil prices rising in recent history, and amidst
global economic woes, oil demand for energy security or road vehicle
passenger
figures and air traveller numbers had all gone up again. It is a vicious demand propelled
cycle.
Even by today’s fossil fuel era of Anthropocene climate, one-third of the
world's workforce is still employed in agribusiness, while all governments
subsidize agrarian activities for food security, though agriculture only
account for 5% of the GDP, or gross world aggregate product of exponential
growth.
Since the millennia, this one world footprint uses the equivalent of 1.3
Planet Earth to provide the resources we need today, while our pH neutral
water sources are depleting fast due to industry, food, and population growth, and
is firmly locked in a vicious cycle of demand - One world one dream same
nightmare.
Black Sea Scenario
The Black Sea weakened slowly at first and then collapsed with shocking
suddenness, has been used to compare with our Oceans as big ponds.
Where giant factory-processing ship, stay at sea for months at a time,
scrapping the deep sea-bed of our Ocean for all life forms in the bottom.
These factory-freezers kept trawling the Ocean for fish until all edible are
gone by the eve of the millennia.
And in a farm-pond, weeds growth slowly, farmers only need to occasionally
clear the weed for an ecological balance before it choke-off all life-forms
in it.
Though our planet looks big, and part of it is still green because one fifth
of its forests remain, the rest have been cut and burn for domesticated
cattle. The human animals even have to cut the branch they are sitting as
millennia unfold. Now only one sixth of the forests are left on Earth.
With 100 nations importing wheat from just six supplying the world, that
number of suppliers will dwindled down to three in a generation's time,
adding the recent grain embargo has cast further doubts, if by tomorrow
Russia could still be the breadbasket of Europe.
The examples of this type of danger have a fixed ecological ratio, and we
can be deluded into thinking that there is no cause of alarm.
We celebrated on the eve of the new millennia with 6 billion people in the
world, since another billion people have joined our party by 2010 – our
planet Earth reached the 6 billion marks on the eve of December 1999, now on
record 6.8 and by next year today 7 billion.
Though the world accepts the CO2 (carbon dioxide) another
billion people could induce, but can’t agree on the amount of methane (CH4),
the potent greenhouse warming gas, those extra billion omnivores could emit,
as some are vegans.
Sustainable Planet Earth
As human populations grow and expand, indigenous populations of plants, insects and animals start getting
squeeze out of the human habitats.
That's bad news to the indigenous as native aboriginal Australians had pointed out,
that disappearing species play a vital role in the ecological systems important to human well beings.
Humans depend on a vast interconnected network of organisms other than our
own species. Examples as plants take in carbon dioxide and convert it to oxygen, and pull
water out of the ground to filter the atmosphere and supply us clean
air and water as rain.
Insects and micro organisms such as bacteria and fungi interact with
(pollinating) plants and animals in ways that provide food for other organisms,
including humans.
In the eye of Gaia, the Earth did not evolve because of our human rights, and we
are merely a part of the transient species. Each of us are born to this Earth
and nurtured by her; and each of us will return to the Earth by the end of our
time span; all living things are born with ethical standing, including, and not
limited to human species.
We would be unrealistic to assume a continued increase in
food supply to support an exponentially growing population.
Zero population grow in which a population remain stable, occurs only when the birth and death
rates are equal.
The true nature of the exponential growth in population
does not reveal itself until variable rates of growth are considered. It took nature thousands of years to build up a human population to about
one billion people but within our life time, world population had gone up to
7 billions today.
By the law of nature, any population which sustains a negative rate of growth
will halve, or any population which sustains a positive rate of growth will
double.
Lonesome George
Petroleum plays a vital role in food, but nitrous oxide is a by product of
fossil fuel in combustion engine, which inactivates vitamin B12 deficiency in us
by oxidation, that the experts called cobalamin.
Vitamin B12 plays a key role in the normal functioning of the brain and
nervous system, and vitamin B12 deficiency causes sensory neuropathy, myelopathy
and encephalopathy -- the inflammation in the brain, or the 'big-headedness'
literally, not a sign of intelligence else dolphins would be farming human
species.
Lonesome George is a case in point when the few big-headedness ventured into
Galapagos Islands for food, with snout in their trotters, now shed crocodile
tears with tortoise -- those who cannot remember the past are condemned to
repeat in the future.
These parasitic brains are helping themselves again with fossil fuel, in the
name of global warming. A generation from now will label these rarest black
stuffs potent symbol of past industrialized civilization.
With the dispersion rates per square mile on many part of the world now reached
critical points, and the tilting of the biotic potential on human population as
a result of advances in medical science, plus the shifting in our trophic levels
(food chains) in the ecosystem.
If the remaining black stuffs are not wisely preserved for vital industrial and agricultural usage now, no military power than
can assure world security in a generation's time.
Author
©Copyright
31/08/2010
All rights reserved.
In my research and studies on the politics in global warming versus human
induced climate change, I am increasingly aware of the danger that I might be
described as a global warming sceptic.
While formalizing the scientific facts away from the climate scientists varies
published hypotheses and assumptions, I opted for a kind of simplifying device
that allows us to decide which facts mattered to our health and which does not.
Some of the research materials obtained might be regarded as unethical, and
might even be regarded as an underhand approach to climate change; however,
devices that can simplify facts, served well in highlighting the health hazard
aspect of human induced chemical pollutants, that food, population growth, and
chemical pollutants are intertwined. To cut a ‘wedge’ out of the graph of
rising emissions will have to halve population; human beings are at best selfish
and at worst shedding crocodile tears.
Author
31/08/2010
Notes:
(1) Professor Wieslaw Maslowski, a scientist at the Naval Postgraduate School
claimed that there will be no summer ice by as soon as 2013. The professor
argues that his projection is already too conservative as his dataset did not include the
minima of 2005 and 2007.
By April 2010, media reported that the Polar ice caps had recovered most part of
the Bering Sea last March, a phenomenon not seen in decades, which made the red
faced professor’s earlier year claims a scientific puzzle.
(1a) Tree-ring evidence is a good indicator for drought periods on Earth but the predictions does
not indicate climate change, due to leaves resist temperature extremes
regardless of weather conditions and is known as tree leaf temperature. Living
plants regulate their own temperature at close to 21 degree centigrade (Celsius)
for optimal photosynthesis, and is independent of the plants geographic
location, thus dense forest air is more humid and warm than exposed areas.
(1b) The barycentre (or barycenter) is one of the foci of the elliptical orbit
of each body such as the Sun and the Earth, the centre of mass where two or more
celestial bodies orbit each other, such as the moon does not orbit the exact
centre of the Earth, but a point on a line between the Earth and the Moon where
their respective masses balance.
If you thought the retrograde motion of Mercury is a problem compare with Moon wobbles. Then
this year's (2010) Solar Eclipse occurs on January 15th of 2010, whilst we are in the midst of four 'Moon Wobble' during the year from
December 28th of 2009 through to January 18th of 2010.
The exact conjunction of the Sun to Moon Nodes occurred on Monday, January 11th
of 2010. This 'Moon Wobble' is a connection between the Sun and the Moon’s
'Nodes' which influence the energies moving around Earth in a tacit way.
The rare Southern Lights (green aurora) at a rather unusual angle over the
southern Indian Ocean at an altitude of 350 km happened during a geomagnetic
storm that probably caused by a coronal mass ejection from the Sun on May 24th
of 2010.
(1c) The bucket test
Suppose a large bucket is half filled with mud, stone, gravel and sand then top
up with water, and left to stand overnight. Next if we use a thin stick to built
a mountain from the mud, stone, sand and gravel at the bottom of the bucket. No water will
be displaced unless you put a few dents to the side of the bucket.
The oceanic crust is continuously being built (created) at mid-ocean ridges,
which is known for sea levels to rise or fall over the centuries due to plate
tectonics crumpled or buckled up into mountain ranges, coastal geological
evidences witnessed 14,000 years ago in geologic time scale.
It is holy untrue that the only reason for sea level rises due to ice on land
melted or ocean water expanded due to global warming, the density of ice is far
bulkier than liquid, and ocean floor level water conditions remain at 4 degrees
Celsius (Centigrade).
Deep ocean water (H2O) molecules mostly are the lighter 16O
(oxygen-16) isotope which can withstand colder conditions then the isotopic
compositions with more heavier 18O (oxygen-18) nearer the
surface of the sea which condenses to ice more readily.
(2) CFCs like CCl3F and CCl2F2. Since the 1987
Montreal Protocol, 180 countries have ratified the agreement, CFCs emission trading
was not on the agenda.
Luck was on our side that industry chose the easy option of CFCs instead of
bromine for spray cans and refrigerators, and then nature can't break down the
bromine bonds. Bromine is 100 times more effective at destroying ozone layer.
Pure luck determined that mechanical engineer turned chemist Thomas Midgley
chose the easy option of CFCs than the less known bromine compounds to develop
his mechanical cooling system.
Since 1970s research indicated ozone level had dropped, by October 1984, the
loss was 30%; and by 1989, the loss was 70%. Ozone hole in Dobson units for October 1992 was 105 where normally for that
time of the year is 225 Dobson units.
UV (ultraviolet) radiation wavelengths below 242nm can break down as well as
form molecule bonds such as CFCs (chemical bonds) over time. Research indicated
that it will take nature 50-100 years to repair itself.
(2a) The reason why the ozone hole first appeared in the Antarctic (South Pole)
because the temperature in the stratosphere is a frigid -62 degree Centigrade
and the stratosphere in the Arctic (North Pole) is usually -43 degree
Centigrade. The destructive force is maximised below -42, and will take UV
(ultraviolet) radiation wavelengths below 242nm to break down as well as form
molecule bonds of CFCs (chemical bonds) over a longer time spent.
(3) Holocene climate variability
The ending of the Holocene climate era and the beginning of the Anthropocene
climate.
Source:
Holocene climate variability
(4) Earth rotation in elliptical form round the Sun
The 100,000 year cycles of ice ages and interglacial that have persisted for
around a million years each have coincided with a minor wobble in the Earth’s
orbit amplify by carbon dioxide.
(5)
Ancient Chinese atmospheric records indicated changing behaviour of the Sun
likely reason for seasonal climate change over a cycle of 10s of thousands
of years.
Since the 1960s, China has adopted a population growth and food yield formula, base on
any population which sustains a
negative rate of growth will halve; and by 2050 both human induced emissions and
population issue can be significantly rectified. Recent world food and credit crisis had already pay
dividend to an educated and prosper nation, a shock to the critics.
(6) Kyoto protocol was designed to cap global warming, but emissions trading was
on the European agenda. And if by selling more carbon emissions could mitigate global warming, than
selling hunger would benefit the poor, what a tautology.
Emissions trading benefits the rich, by selling thin
air to put food on the table is analogous to rubbing the poor off their meal, whilst avoiding the
political sensitive issue of world over population.
Perhaps the
Iraqis did sacrifices themselves to mitigate
world population explosion.
(7) Vitamin B12 is a water soluble vitamin with a key role in the normal
functioning of the brain and nervous system, and for the formation of blood.
B12 is a complex structure and has a collection of rare biochemical element cobalt and
in a Corrin-ring
molecule structure (consisting of 4-pyrrole subunits) synthesized by bacteria. It is one of the eight B vitamins.
(8) Petroleum is the raw material for many chemical products, including
pharmaceuticals, solvents, fertilizers, pesticides, and plastics. In the
industrialized world, the largest volume products of the industry are fuel oil
and gasoline (petrol) for vehicles.
Sulphuric acid (H2SO4), principal uses include lead-acid batteries for cars.
Nitric acid (HNO3), also known as aqua fortis (Latin strong) and spirit of
nitre, is a highly corrosive and toxic strong acid that can cause severe burns.
OPEC will need to pump 28.7 million barrels a day to balance global oil demand
and supply in 2010, the largest annual amount in six years, according to Pravda
News, 13th May 2010.
(9) Historically, economic success has a close correlation between growth
and the climate, the mechanism between the two may spur in early human activity that
economic, as well as cultural development always concentrated on warmer parts of the
Earth, examples of such as China, India or Egypt.
(10) Global warming may improve global agriculture toward climate variability
in the Holocene (11,500 years BP to the present), and had sustained
the growth and development of modern society.
Source:
Holocene climate variability
(11)
Population growth is mathematically linked to resources and the climate, and
China is the only nation on Earth doing something about it. Take the biosphere and the climate for example.
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in the soil mantle is
estimated 42 million tons annually. Human discharge of organic carbon had
reached 85 million tons per annum -- doubled the earth's natural absorption
ability.
The volume of solid domestic waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has
reached a geological figure, over 400 million tons per year. Such an enormous
amount of waste affects global geochemical cycles, further contribute to the
shifting in climates and trophic levels (food chains) in the ecosystem.
(12) Ecological Footprint
The term ‘ecological footprint’ is to let people know how much they consume of
nature’s resources and their waste discharged back on Earth.
In ancient agricultural civilization, the term 'mere subsistence' indicate 2-3
acres of arable land per head was need, in order to avoid the most gruesome
famines during draught, for a given population in that nation -- arable land not
global hectares per capita.
In the 1950s, China is said to have an ecological deficit -- the number of acres
of arable land needed to support her population in case of draught, there was
massive famine. Since adopted the food yield and population growth formula, and
recent world food crisis has again proved the ancient wisdom.
In a research on ecology and agriculture at Cornell University and US
National Research Institute on Food and Nutrition study titled 'land, food and
population growth' indicated that the world will have to reduce her population
by two-third, the maximum sustainable ecology in the US is 200 million.
World Footprint
Today, humanity uses the equivalent of 1.3 Planet Earth to provide the resources we
use and absorb our waste discharged back on earth, that is -- it takes 1 year
and 4 months at today's rate.
In a generation's time, we will need the equivalent of two Planet Earths to
support our existing life style, while pH neutral water sources are depleting
fast due to food and population growth, and it's going to be a 'one world one
dream same nightmare' scenario.
(13) Ecological Footprint
In the case of coffee, about 25 million small farmers depend directly on coffee
production in over 50 countries. With increasing use of fertilisers and
pesticides since the 1980s, has led to over supply of coffee, as a result coffee
farmers’ income has declined by two-third (about 70%) by 2001.
(14) Little Ice Ages
The periods of little Ice Ages began in the early 14th century, and flickered on
and off before peaking in late 17th century and finally releasing its grip some
150 years ago.
At the height of the little ice age, the Baltic Sea froze over and there was
widespread famine across Europe. By 1420s Chinese surveying ships headed the
Arctic via the north coast of Greenland through to North America.
And 72 years later, Columbus discovered America (in 1492), in order words; it
took the Western aboriginal 72 years after the Chinese surveying ships left
North America, to realized that there was advance civilization outside of
medieval Europe, and the start of the Renaissance periods.
(15) Pseudoscience Tale
Pseudoscience tale of the ocean circulation system switch, that colder water
dissolves carbon dioxide faster than warmer water, in order to controlling the
ocean conveyer belt on/off switch.
And suggest the building of a city in Greenland, where human activities will
force the ancient glacial ice mountains down to sea, which is enough to lower
sea temperature worldwide, to restore climate equilibrium.
(16) Bio-Capacity
The natural absorption rate of organic carbon in
the soil mantle is estimated 42 million tons annually. Human discharge of
organic carbon had reached 85 million tons per annum – doubled the earth's
natural absorption ability.
The volume of solid domestic waste discharged in the Earth’s biosphere has
reached a geological figure (landfill site figure), over 400 million tons per
year. Such an enormous amount of waste affects global geochemical cycles;
further contribute to the shifting in climates and trophic levels (food chains)
in the ecosystem.
(16a) According to China Daily, Wednesday, May 12, 2010
For example, due to urbanization programme, rubbish landfills in Beijing have
taken more than 20,000mu or 1,333 hectares of land and the area is increasing
about 500mu or 33 hectares every year.
More than 130 companies build garbage treatment facilities in China for a market
that is expanding at nearly 25 percent annually, according to the All-China
Environment Federation.
Beijing plans to create 300 community rubbish recycling stations as a part of a
'Renewable Resource Recycling Day' this year, to encourage people to recycle
rubbish near their homes.
(17) Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons Runoff
According to recent research from Beijing, China alone responsible for about
133,000 metric tons, mainly from eastern China industrial towns, now accounting
for about 22% of global PAHs emissions.
The human activities alone now account for about half of the cancerous PAHs (or
about a million metric tons), in addition to volcanic activity.
(18) Fodder or Animal Feed
The worldwide animal feed industry consumed 635 million tons of feed (compound
feed equivalent) in 2006, with an annual growth rate of about 2%.
(19) In addition to Lonesome George, there was also the Dodo (Raphus cucullatus),
a flightless bird related to the pigeons and doves, it stood about a meter (3
feet) tall, weighing about 20 kilograms (44 lb), living on fruits and nesting on
the ground.
The Dodo has been extinct since the great scale migratory movements in the 19th
century, and is commonly used as the archetype of an extinct species because its
extinction occurred during recorded human migratory history, and was directly
attributable to human activity.
The phrase "The dead of a Dodo" is undoubtedly and unquestionably meant death;
whilst the phrase "to go with the way of the Dodo" meant to became extinct or
obsolete.
(19a) Despite the largest grain harvest in history (in 2007, 2008, and 2009), and
amidst global economic woes, food prices had gone up again.
(20) A group of Chinese researchers are cultivating human cells to make
artificial corneas in a laboratory, bringing hope to some 5 million victims of
corneal blindness in China.
The research team from the Ocean University of China (OUC) was expected to
produce a complete cornea and begin clinical trials in three to five years, said
Fan Tingjun, deputy dean of the College of Marine Life Science at the OUC.
The research team had made a major breakthrough by using tissue-engineering
technologies to create a tissue similar to the endothelium, an innermost, single
layer of cells essential to keeping the cornea clear, Fan said.
After nine years of trial and error, the team successfully cultivated a large
quantity of normal human endothelial cells with the assistance of supports made
of human amnion.
The researchers are working with the Qingdao Yuming Biotechnologies Co., Ltd to
produce 150,000 to 200,000 pieces of endothelium every year to benefit more than
800,000 Chinese who became blind after their endothelium was damaged.
Source:
Real Climate
World Footprint
Holocene Era
PAHs Runoff
|
Population Growth Rate |
Population Doubled |
| @
1 % |
in
70 years |
|
@ 1.5 % |
in
47 years |
| @
2 % |
in
35 years |
|
@ 2.5 % |
in
28 years |
| @
3 % |
in
23 years |
|
@ 3.5 % |
in
20 years |
| @
4 % |
in
18 years |
Mantra: You can't cure brain death but you can prevent
it from dying.
What's the moral in these stories?
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