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Charity Starts From Home
What makes your brain tick?
According to researchers that the part of your body, if you don't use it you
lose it, particularly your brain, are their any true in it??
Food for thoughts...
Are rich nations immune from food crisis ?
And the global agriculture reform !!!
One of the most comforting thoughts -- per media unfolding orders on food
crisis and it's impacts on the poor and the riots, somehow we are immune.
Those who are concern than knew what scientists had said that it was not a bib caused by economic growth of emerging nations.
Are we blind by the media ?
Let's take India and China for example, both temperately suspend food exports
except those that they can't afford to eat (such as Basmati) just because of droughts.
Are there any true in it ?
We knew for more than 30 years that any food crisis will cause a storm right
from the baby boom years to the 1970s and again in the1980s that scientists had highlighted
the analogy with bacteria growth in a jar paradigm.
Bacteria growth by division, not unlike human beings -- one and one makes 4,
thus 2 more mouths to feed. Let's say each mouth takes a ton of food per year for
example, major producers export all surplus food in exchange for
other needs.
Scientists simply state the facts that there is a time factor need for
quantity to double in size (by say 100%) is a constant.
Of course we can continue to increase the height of buildings if population
doubled in the city and double the number of bus on the road but we can't double
agriculture land same time.
Ask yourself this simple question!
Suppose all food producing nations export their surplus without exponential gain
in agriculture land, when would they STOP exporting ?
China indeed has a secret formula for food yield and population growth ratio,
that rich nations would sell their new born in exchange for a mouthful of her
surplus one day whilst India secretly reforming it's food yield, if her mouths continue to
ate a ton of food each per annum.
Facts are politicians been true to us that there is no secret formula in
China, such studies were political and not proven -- simple folks like us can't
add as scientist understood profit associated with land, food and
population growth.
Generation
Time |
Population
in Billion (increasing) |
Food Consumption
in Billion Ton |
Food Yield
in Billion Ton |
Surplus for Export in Billion Ton (estimate) |
|
1920 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
|
1940 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
3 |
0.5 |
|
1960 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
|
1980 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
5 |
0.5 |
|
2000 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
0 |
|
2020 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
? |
? |
Common sense would tell us that a 1-cubic centimetre cube, with a cross section
of 1 sq centimetre, that is, if we cut 1 face of the cube, that face is 1 sq
centimetre.
And if we doubled the size of this cube -- the cube with 2 centimetres on each
sides, its cross-sectional area would be 2 x 2 (or 4) sq centimetres thus its volume
will be 2 x 2 x 2 (or 8) cubic centimetres.
For the same density it would have 4 times the cross section and 8 times
heavier, the true is it's volume (and weight) multiplies much more than the
corresponding increases in cross-sectional areas, politicians understood this
simple fact associates land, food and population growth.
Bacterium In A Jar Paradigm
The scientists analogy with bacteria growth can't be more explicate -- suppose one of the bacteria got into an empty bottle at 11:00am and that grow start till the bottle was full of bacteria at 12:00 noon.
If the division time of this bacterium is one minute.
Facts are scientists had asked you to consider the scenario and outline the type
of hypothesized chain events -- When was the bottle half-full ?
You knew that at 2 minutes before noon, the bottle was only a quarter (1/4) full
! What happened ?
If you were the responsible world leader, when would you associate land, food
and population growth your hidden agenda ?
Can you sense the urgency say in baby boom years when food exporting nations
had millions of tons surplus leading to food mountain outcry in the 1980s.
Or suppose one of you intelligent leader stretched your status, accept the hidden crisis
and contingency ordered, would luck be on your side that global
warming did annihilate millions -- you got a food mountain crisis on your hand
by 2010.
Suppose global warming didn't annihilate a soul and you had prepared all
contingencies and world population than say @
5 billion -- causes you a food mountain crisis.
7 billion -- causes you a world food crisis.
What about 9 billion -- WAR?
Are we immune from food crisis, charity starts from home.
Which does made me wondered ! Are we preparing for
war?
|
Post War Population
Explosion |
| 1800 1 billion
(scientists
estimated figure) |
| 1850 1.2 billion
|
| 1900 1.6 billion
|
| 1927 2 billion (Post 1st World War 1914-1918) |
| 1950 2.55 billion (Post 2nd World War 1939-1945) |
| 1955 2.8 billion |
| 1960 3 billion
(Exponential Growth & Doubling) |
| 1965 3.3 billion
|
| 1970 3.7 billion
|
| 1975 4 billion
(Post Baby Boom Years 1946-1970) |
| 1980 4.5 billion |
| 1985 4.85 billion (Bacterium In A Jar Paradigm) |
| 1990 5.3 billion |
| 1995 5.7 billion
|
| 1999 6 billion
(Doubling In Time Theorem) |
| 2000 6.1 billion |
| 2005 6.45 billion
|
| 2006 6.5 billion |
| 2008 6.7 billion
(May 2008 about 6.73 billion) |
| 2010 6.8 billion
|
| 2020 7.6 billion
|
| 2050 9.2 billion |
| *Data per world government statistics & web research. |
Author
05/10/2008
Mantra: You can't cure brain death but you can prevent
it.
Notes:
(1) Poor farmer kept a ton of grain per adult on average.
(2) Population growth research data.
(3) During the 1980s physics professor Albert A. Bartlett @ University of
Colorado highlighted the untimely analogy
with bacteria growth and energy crisis.
(4) 7 billion ton figures could just be 8, 9 or 6 etc. there's a point we can't
increase agriculture land and thus food output.
(5) Post world wars' population increased on each occasions, world war proven
not the solution to population explosion. Charity must start from home, examples
such as China land, food and population growth ratio.
What's the moral in these stories?
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