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Charity Starts From Home

What makes your brain tick?
According to researchers that the part of your body, if you don't use it you lose it, particularly your brain, are their any true in it??


Food for thoughts...
Are rich nations immune from food crisis ?
And the global agriculture reform !!!

One of the most comforting thoughts -- per media unfolding orders on food crisis and it's impacts on the poor and the riots, somehow we are immune.

Those who are concern than knew what scientists had said that it was not a bib caused by economic growth of emerging nations. Are we blind by the media ?

Let's take India and China for example, both temperately suspend food exports except those that they can't afford to eat (such as Basmati) just because of droughts. Are there any true in it ?

We knew for more than 30 years that any food crisis will cause a storm right from the baby boom years to the 1970s and again in the1980s that scientists had highlighted the analogy with bacteria growth in a jar paradigm.

Bacteria growth by division, not unlike human beings -- one and one makes 4, thus 2 more mouths to feed. Let's say each mouth takes a ton of food per year for example, major producers export all surplus food in exchange for other needs.

Scientists simply state the facts that there is a time factor need for quantity to double in size (by say 100%) is a constant.

Of course we can continue to increase the height of buildings if population doubled in the city and double the number of bus on the road but we can't double agriculture land same time.

Ask yourself this simple question!
Suppose all food producing nations export their surplus without exponential gain in agriculture land, when would they STOP exporting ?

China indeed has a secret formula for food yield and population growth ratio, that rich nations would sell their new born in exchange for a mouthful of her surplus one day whilst India secretly reforming it's food yield, if her mouths continue to ate a ton of food each per annum.

Facts are politicians been true to us that there is no secret formula in China, such studies were political and not proven -- simple folks like us can't add as scientist understood profit associated with land, food and population growth.

Generation
Time
Population
in Billion (increasing)
Food Consumption
in Billion Ton
Food Yield
in Billion Ton
Surplus for Export in Billion Ton (estimate)
1920 2 2 3 1
1940 2.5 2.5 3 0.5
1960 3 3 4 1
1980 4.5 4.5 5 0.5
2000 6 6 6 0
2020 7.5 7.5 ? ?

Common sense would tell us that a 1-cubic centimetre cube, with a cross section of 1 sq centimetre, that is, if we cut 1 face of the cube, that face is 1 sq centimetre.

And if we doubled the size of this cube -- the cube with 2 centimetres on each sides, its cross-sectional area would be 2 x 2 (or 4) sq centimetres thus its volume will be 2 x 2 x 2 (or 8) cubic centimetres.

For the same density it would have 4 times the cross section and 8 times heavier, the true is it's volume (and weight) multiplies much more than the corresponding increases in cross-sectional areas, politicians understood this simple fact associates land, food and population growth.
 

Bacterium In A Jar Paradigm
The scientists analogy with bacteria growth can't be more explicate -- suppose one of the bacteria got into an empty bottle at 11:00am and that grow start till the bottle was full of bacteria at 12:00 noon. If the division time of this bacterium is one minute.

Facts are scientists had asked you to consider the scenario and outline the type of hypothesized chain events -- When was the bottle half-full ?

You knew that at 2 minutes before noon, the bottle was only a quarter (1/4) full !  What happened ?

If you were the responsible world leader, when would you associate land, food and population growth your hidden agenda ?

Can you sense the urgency say in baby boom years when food exporting nations had millions of tons surplus leading to food mountain outcry in the 1980s.

Or suppose one of you intelligent leader stretched your status, accept the hidden crisis and contingency ordered, would luck be on your side that global warming did annihilate millions -- you got a food mountain crisis on your hand by 2010.

Suppose global warming didn't annihilate a soul and you had prepared all contingencies and world population than say @

5 billion -- causes you a food mountain crisis.
7 billion -- causes you a world food crisis.

What about 9 billion -- WAR?

Are we immune from food crisis, charity starts from home.
Which does made me wondered !  Are we preparing for war?

Post War Population Explosion

1800 1 billion   (scientists estimated figure)
1850 1.2 billion
1900 1.6 billion
1927 2 billion        (Post 1st World War 1914-1918)
1950 2.55 billion    (Post 2nd World War 1939-1945)
1955 2.8 billion
1960 3 billion        (Exponential Growth & Doubling)
1965 3.3 billion
1970 3.7 billion
1975 4 billion         (Post Baby Boom Years 1946-1970)
1980 4.5 billion    
1985 4.85 billion    (Bacterium In A Jar Paradigm)
1990 5.3 billion
1995 5.7 billion
1999 6 billion         (Doubling In Time Theorem)
2000 6.1 billion
2005 6.45 billion
2006 6.5 billion
2008 6.7 billion      (May 2008 about 6.73 billion)
2010 6.8 billion
2020 7.6 billion
2050 9.2 billion
*Data per world government statistics & web research.

Author
05/10/2008

Mantra: You can't cure brain death but you can prevent it.

Notes:
(1) Poor farmer kept a ton of grain per adult on average.
(2) Population growth research data.
(3) During the 1980s physics professor Albert A. Bartlett @ University of Colorado highlighted the untimely analogy with bacteria growth and energy crisis.
(4) 7 billion ton figures could just be 8, 9 or 6 etc. there's a point we can't increase agriculture land and thus food output.
(5) Post world wars' population increased on each occasions, world war proven not the solution to population explosion. Charity must start from home, examples such as China land, food and population growth ratio.

 

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Bacterium In A Jar Paradigm

TIME FULL 100%

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Full

100%

     
 

During the 1980s physics professor Albert A. Bartlett at University of Colorado highlighted the untimely analogy with bacteria growth and energy crisis (table above).

7 billion ton figures could just be 8, 9 or even 6 etc. There comes a point we can't increase agriculture land and thus food yield.

Poor farmer kept a ton of grain per adult on average.

World population growth research figures far exceed imaginations.

Author
05/10/2008

 

 

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